Exit Poll Tracker

TN Assembly 2026

234 seats · Majority: 118 seats

Updated: 4 May 2026, 06:30 pm IST
Official Results Released: The Election Commission of India has announced the final results from the May 4, 2026 counting. TVK emerges as the single largest party with 108 seats, while DMK+ secured 51 seats. Exit polls and official results shown below.

Average Seat Projection — All Polls

234 seats · Majority 118
124
DMK+ (INDIA)
DMK · INC · VCK
Majority ✓
66
AIADMK+
AIADMK · BJP · PMK
39
TVK (Vijay)
Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam
⚡ New Force
5
Others
NTK & Independents
124
39
66
Majority: 118
DMK+ TVK Others AIADMK+
Average of 6 exit polls
⚡ Outlier Alert — Axis My India: The only agency predicting TVK to lead with 109 seats, ahead of DMK+ (101) and AIADMK+ (24). A potential historic upset for Vijay's party in its first election.

Exit Polls vs Official Results — Seats

Projected seats from exit polls (29 Apr) and official results from Election Commission of India (4 May) · Out of 234 seats

AgencyDMKINCVCKAIADMKBJPPMKTVKNTKOTHDMK+AIADMK+
Axis My IndiaOutlier
India Today · 29 Apr
1010024001090010124
Matrize
India TV · 29 Apr
127009300110312793
P-MARQ
NewsX · 29 Apr
135007500210313575
Peoples Pulse
News18 · 29 Apr
135007300210513573
Chanakya Strategies
News18 · 29 Apr
153005800002315358
Sun Exit Poll
Sun TV · 29 Apr
16900640000116964
Election Commission of India
Official Results · 4 May
42726285108005175
Poll of Polls
Average · 7 surveys
123106411390512466

Average Vote Share % (Poll of Polls)

DMK36.6%
INC0.4%
VCK0.3%
AIADMK26.7%
BJP0.6%
PMK0.4%
TVK23.9%
NTK0%
OTH11.2%

Seat Projections by Agency

Stacked bar — total 234 seats · dashed line = majority (118)

Average Vote Share %

Averaged across all exit polls (excluding Others)

Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam36.6%
Indian National Congress0.4%
Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi0.3%
All India Anna26.7%
Bharatiya Janata Party0.6%
Pattali Makkal Katchi0.4%
Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam23.9%
Naam Tamilar Katchi0%

2026 Election Results — Historic Verdict

TVK wins with 108 seats
Actor Vijay's debut party emerges as the single largest party but falls short of the 118 majority mark. A historic political realignment.
DMK+ collapses to 51 seats
The ruling alliance faces a historic defeat, dropping from 159 seats in 2021 to just 51 — anti-incumbency against MK Stalin.
AIADMK+ recovers to 75 seats
The traditional opposition alliance makes a comeback but still below 2021 levels, as the Dravidian duopoly breaks.
No clear majority — horse-trading ahead
With no party/alliance at 118 seats, coalition negotiations and support arrangements will determine who forms the next government.